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BRAZIL DAILY
09/06/2010
Central Bank: no surprises with 2Q10 GDP
On one hand the 2Q10 GDP surprised market analysts as it advanced 1.2%. On the other hand, the Central Bank considered it below its forecast based on IBC-Br activity index, which improved 1.3% in the same period.
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Weekly Agenda
BRAZIL DAILY
09/06/2010
2Q10 GDP: upside surprise
In 2Q10, Brazilian GDP advanced 1.2% compared to the first quarter of the year and 8.8% compared to the same period of last year. The result was above our expectation of 0.7% and also above median market expectation (0.7%).
• Full publication
 
BRAZIL DAILY
09/06/2010
Selic scenario for 2011
If our GDP scenario confirms, it is likely that an additional adjustment in interest rate is needed in 2011's first quarter to generate sustainable equilibrium amongst demand, supply and current account. The residual monetary tightening that we forecast will depend also on first steps of the next government's fiscal policy.
• Full publication
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